Sweden’s centre-right Moderate Party has achieved its highest level of voter support in five years, according to a new opinion poll conducted by Verian on behalf of the public broadcaster SVT. This survey, the first conducted by the organization since the election, shows the Moderates registering a statistically significant increase, rising from 19.9 percent to 22.3 percent.
Per Söderpalm, head of polling at Verian, explained the shift to SVT by noting that the rise likely consists of returning Moderate voters who had cast tactical votes for the Liberals during the election. In contrast, the Liberals have slipped to 3.7 percent, falling back below the four percent threshold required for parliamentary representation.
The Green Party also recorded growth, increasing from 6.1 percent in the election to 7.1 percent. Meanwhile, a separate TV4/Novus poll indicated a decline for other major parties. According to that survey, support for the Social Democrats dropped by 2.1 percentage points to 25.9 percent, and the Left Party fell by 1.2 percentage points to 7.2 percent. The same TV4/Novus poll also tracked a dip for the Liberals, who fell 1.4 percentage points to 3.9 percent.
The SVT/Verian poll surveyed approximately 3,000 people aged between 18 and 84 between 28th September and 11th October, utilizing a randomly selected, nationally representative panel. The TV4/Novus survey, which reported statistically significant results for the Social Democrats, Moderates, Liberals, and Left Party, was based on 2,512 interviews carried out between 5th and 11th October.
